Friday Foreplay – Gameweek 38

Gareth Bale by Jan S0L0 at Flickr (CC BY-SA 2.0): http://www.flickr.com/photos/37547921@N04/5593692814

Bale tops the captain picks for this season´s last Gameweek.

It is time for us to pick our companions for this season’s last supper. Possible dining partners include captain picks, big hitters, clean sheets, and punts. Also, the last, and possibly the worst, analogy of the season.

Final picks

Well here we are. It’s come down to this, the last Gameweek of the season. For many the mini-leagues have already been settled. For others it’s squeaky bum time, quoting the recently retired Sir Alex Ferguson.

Your strategy depends on where you stand. If you are chasing a leader, you need to find a differential. Should the point gap be minimal, the one free transfer could be enough to make up ground with a well placed outside bet. More on that in the punts.

If you are leading the way the most reasonable play is to bet on the heavy hitters, especially those that still have something to play for. Make sure you all your players will start and resist the urge to take a hit, as the four point swing could be all that separates you from your rivals when the dust has settled.

If you are holding on to an insurmountable lead, or have already given up on the league, this is the perfect time to experiment. Take a hit or two and chase a feeling, or look at the stats and choose the most likely player to deliver an explosive Gameweek score.

Whatever you do, best of luck, and thanks for reading.

Captain Picks

  1. Bale: Tottenham have everything to play for and have a home game against a Sunderland team that is now safe, following Wigan’s loss against Arsenal last Gameweek. He’s the obvious top pick and should likely be yours if you are leading in your mini-league. If you need to differentiate, I can understand putting your armband elsewhere, but understand that this is a risky move.

  2. Walcott: Walcott is in the same situation as Bale, except Arsenal play away from home against Newcastle. Bale has shown consistency playing upfront for Arsenal and is a fine captain pick. He could even be considered a differential, as so many Fantasy managers will captain Bale.

  3. Sturridge: Despite me harping on about picking players that have something to play for, I’m going for Sturridge. Why? For one, he’s in amazing form with 11 league goals and 5 assists in 13 games. Liverpool also play at home and face the frankly appalling QPR. Brendan Rodgers is focusing on building up for next season and will want to finish the season on a high, as witnessed by Liverpool’s big wins against Newcastle and Fulham.

Heavy Hitters

Aguero and Silva delivered against Reading without the sacked Mancini. A home game against a recently attacking Norwich team is the perfect game to finish the season on a high note and the Argentine will want to make a statement for the incoming manager.

Van Persie could be in the captain picks, if not for the uncertainty of whether he will be in the starting lineup. Perhaps it is likely, with Ferguson wanting to thank him for his part in the manager’s last title, and you should seldom bet against Van Persie in the Fantasy game.

Despite varied Fantasy results, Cazorla has to be in the picks, for his tendency to deliver explosive returns. Last Gameweek’s four assists were tremendous and Arsenal need another performance from the Spaniard to secure the Champions League spot.

Adebayor and Dempsey were the heroes last Gameweek and should start upfront in Villas-Boas’s preferred 4-3-3 formation.

Coutinho is dictating the attacking play for Liverpool and is the likeliest to provide assists.

Clean Sheets

Manchester City should keep Norwich’s threat to a minimum and Zabaleta should start after missing out on the last two games.

Liverpool should dominate the game against QPR, keeping possession and not give up many chances. If you have the cash, Johnson offers a decent chance of attacking returns.

Tottenham face a Sunderland team bereft of their top attackers and will be desperate to keep a clean sheet. Dawson is the cheapest in the Tottenham defence.

Punts

Hernandez has an amazing goal per minute ratio and could be set to start again with Rooney focused on other issues.

Giggs should start, if only for sentimental reasons, and is always looking for the killer pass. He’s very much the outer most of differentials and perhaps only a real pick for those wanting to experiment in the last Gameweek.

Michu was a surprise inclusion for Swansea against Manchester United. He scored and played well and is a cheeky captain pick this Gameweek. Swansea face Fulham, who are playing atrocious defence and seem to have already signed out this season.

With Benteke missing Agbonlahor should start upfront for Aston Villa who face an already relegated Wigan team.

Gameweek 37 Review

Sturridge V Swansea by Dean Jones at Flickr (CC BY 2.0): http://www.flickr.com/photos/kuaver/8483088144/

Sturridge´s hattrick brought his goal tally up to 11 goals in 13 league games for Liverpool.

Musings from Gameweek 37

Sturridge’s stats

Sturridge recorded seven shots against Fulham, the highest in the Gameweek. His hattrick means he has 11 goals in 13 league games for Liverpool, in addition to five assists. He’s been the perfect pickup since Suarez went missing, with three double-digit scores in the last four Gameweeks.

His consistency means he is most certainly a valid captain pick for the last home game of the season against QPR.

Coutinho also continued his hot streak with two assists. He’s one many Fantasy managers will be excited to start with next season. His price is likely to go up, but could be tempered by his relatively short stay in the Premier League.

The Arsenal bet pays off

Betting on teams that need a win paid off with Arsenal’s four goals against Wigan’s one, courtesy of Maloney. Cazorla, incredibly, got all four assists with Walcott, Podolski, and Ramsey contributing.

With Newcastle now safe, Arsenal’s away game promises to provide goal opportunities again so a punt on Walcott or Cazorla is recommended.

Norwich’s haul

The randomness of meaningless games struck as Norwich put four past a hapless West Brom team. Those who gambled on Snodgrass were richly rewarded as he bagged the perfect fantasy dish of a goal, an assist, and three bonus points.

However, it’s hard to recommend the Canaries as their final game of the season is away from home against Manchester City. Keep Snodgrass if you have him but don’t go getting Norwich players in just for the final game.

Bale misfires

Despite registering six shots in the Gameweek, Bale failed to deliver, leaving the work to Dempsey and Adebayor.

Adebayor seems to found his rhythm at the right time and is a candidate to replace the suspended Benteke.

Silly red cards

Ramires and Benteke each got a silly red card for a high foot while on a yellow. Fantasy wise, Benteke’s card had a sharper effect, as it both negated the points for his goal and gave rise to a Chelsea comeback inspired by Lampard’s brace and Hazard’s pair of assists.

Picking the right midfielder from Chelsea is a difficult task with the love getting spread around, but I have a feeling that Hazard will be the standout performer next season.

Captain picks

I’m documenting whether I’m passing the test with my captain picks. If a captain pick scores over three points in the Gameweek it is considered a success and I am also noting double-digit Gameweek scores.

In the Friday Foreplay for Gameweek 37 I recommended Walcott, Bale, and Fellaini as captain picks. Walcott was the only one who delivered with Bale’s blank and Mirallas scoring both Everton goals.

Quality of captain picks:

  • Good captain picks: 67/111
  • Double digit captains: 31/111

Friday Foreplay – Gameweek 37

Theo Walcott 1 by Ronnie Mcdonald at Flickr (CC BY 2.0). http://www.flickr.com/photos/ronmacphotos/6142138116/.

Walcott makes the captain picks for Gameweek 37 with Arsenal desperately needing a win to secure a spot in the Champions League next season.

Every Gameweek is a birthday party, but every party must come to an end. Enjoy your 37th Fantasy birthday with captain picks, big hitters, clean sheets, and punts. Also, the gift of a strained analogy.

Captain Picks

  1. Walcott: Arsenal have it all to play for. So have Wigan. Given both teams’ philosophy we should see attacking football with openings for the strikers. With Giroud out of the picture, Walcott will play up front where he has been deadly this season. He has back to back goals and attacking returns in three of his last five games, so he’s a great captain bet this Gameweek.

  2. Bale: His first goalless game in five attempts came last week and he could face another away at Stoke. Despite having nothing to play for Pulis will want to finish the season on high so Bale will not get too many chances. Not that it matters that much, given the way he is playing. It will take a brave Fantasy managers to bet against Bale so he keeps his place in the captain picks.

  3. Fellaini: Fellaini’s attacking stats have been fine in the last five games, despite not delivering any attacking returns. He’ll be angling for a move after Moyes’s appointment at Manchester United and I think it will show in his game. He’ll likely be playing behind the striker and I guessing he’ll be heavily involved.

Heavy Hitters

Suarez’s absence has given Sturridge and Coutinho the centre stage as witnessed by Liverpool’s demolition of Newcastle. Both are great picks against a Fulham team with nothing to play for. Sturridge is even a sneaky outside captain pick if you need the differential.

I’m not comfortable giving Van Persie the armband this Gameweek as Ferguson could spread around the playing time for his last game in charge. Still, Van Persie will want to put on a show in gratitude for his first title and is likely to score should he start.

You really should get Walcott instead of Cazorla, but if you have the Spaniard play him. He’s a better player than Fantasy pick as he generally plays well but isn’t always involved in the goals. He has the potential to explode though, as witnessed by his five double-digit Gameweeks.

Manchester City’s starting lineup is anyones guess, but both Aguero and Tevez are fine picks should they start. I would play them if you have them but not go out purchasing them for the last two Gameweeks.

I would be comfortable recommending any combination of Hazard, Lampard, and Mata from the Aston Villa versus Chelsea game. Chelsea need the win and will have to open up, giving Aston Villa the chance to counter-attack with Agbonlahor’s devastating pace in tandem with Benteke’s strength and finishing.

Clean Sheets

Everton have kept six clean sheets in the last eight games. Baines is the standout choice, if you have the cash, due to his penchant for delivering assists.

Bunn is a budget keeper worth considering due to Norwich’s need to keep it tight and secure at least a draw at home against West Brom.

Sunderland don’t have much firepower left with Fletcher and Sessegnon missing. They will have to keep it tight and Cuellar could benefit with a clean sheet.

Punts

Moyes will want to leave the Everton fans on a high and will push for a win against a West Ham team that has already secured another season in the top flight. Anichebe will get his chances.

Newcastle’s Cisse will get chances against a dreadful QPR team. With suddenly all to play for, Pardew will aim for the win.

Arsenal will need to attack against Wigan, giving Maloney a chance to add to his impressive tally of five goals and nine assists this season.

Gameweek 36 Review – Bale Yet Again

Gareth Bale by Jan S0L0 at Flickr (CC BY-SA 2.0): http://www.flickr.com/photos/37547921@N04/5593692814

It’s almost getting boring, but Bale secured yet another double-digit Gameweek with another late game winner against Southampton.

Musings from Gameweek 36

Hart’s Haul

Given Mancini’s statement that Pantilimon would play the FA Cup final it was no surprise to see Hart start both games. He came away with 15 points, courtesy of two clean sheets, seven saves, and a bonus point.

In hindsight he was clearly the best choice for the Gameweek due to Mancini’s heavy rotation. Not a single defender played both games which was a disappointment for those banking on big defensive points from City.

Rotation also applied to City’s strike force with none of the trio playing close to the full 90 minutes and Aguero only delivering two points in 77 minutes.

I was gutted, after having spent four points getting Aguero in. I shouldn’t complain too much because the Argentinian was a risky pick.

Bale

Bale’s goal and 12 points means he has now delivered double-digit returns in 8 of his last 11 games. That’s just absurd and those not holding and captaining him this Gameweek should just silently weep.

Unless of course they captained Hart in which case I’ll just shut my mouth.

Kone and Maloney

Wigan’s Kone and Maloney delivered, as predicted, and are decent options to hold. Wigan face Arsenal away from home in a game that will be crucial in both the relegation and Champions League fight.

Given Wigan’s amazing record in May I wouldn’t dare write them off. If they win, Kone and Maloney are likely to be involved.

Oscar outdoes Mata and Hazard

Oscar provided a huge differential swing in the double Gameweek. Owned by only 1.8% of Fantasy managers, compared to Mata’s 28% and Hazard’s 21% percent, he outscored the former by 5 and the latter by 11 points.

His three goals in the last four games and relatively low price makes him a decent punt for the last two games, away at Aston Villa and home against Everton.

Adebayor Shows his Worth

To my surprise Villas-Boas went with Adebayor up top against Chelsea. He performed admirably, scoring Tottenham’s first and laying up Sigurdsson goal with a clever back heel. He worked harder than I’ve seen him do all season and is tempting as a last gasp differential punt.

Awesome Agbonlahor

With the spotlight on Benteke, following last Gameweek’s hattrick, Agbonlahor was not to be outdone again. He’s another massive differential, owned by only 0.4% of Fantasy managers, and provided a welcome 13 points due to his brilliant brace and three bonus points.

Since coming back from injury he’s scored eight goals and provided four assists in twelve games, reminding us that he should be in our thoughts when constructing next season’s squad.

Captain picks

I’m documenting whether I’m passing the test with my captain picks. If a captain pick scores over three points in the Gameweek it is considered a success and I am also noting double-digit Gameweek scores.

In the Friday Foreplay for Gameweek 36 I recommended Bale, Aguero, and Mata as captain picks. Aguero was the disappointment, as covered above, but Bale and Mata came through.

Quality of captain picks:

  • Good captain picks: 68/108
  • Double digit captains: 31/108

Friday Foreplay – Gameweek 36

Gareth Bale by Jan S0L0 at Flickr (CC BY-SA 2.0): http://www.flickr.com/photos/37547921@N04/5593692814

Gareth Bale is the obvious captain pick for the double Gameweek.

Now to pick our toppings for the double scoop of Gameweek 36. Choices include captain picks, big hitters, clean sheets, and punts. Also, a sweet analogy.

Double Gameweek

The last double Gameweek of the season is upon us. Tottenham, Chelsea, Swansea, Wigan, West Brom, and Manchester City play two games in Gameweek 36.

Hopefully you have either been planning for this double Gameweek for a few weeks, or are sporting a shiny Wildcard, as you must go into the Gameweek with a minimum of three double-fixture players to compete.

The safe choices are from Tottenham and Wigan, both teams that have something to play for, while the risks lie in City’s and Chelsea’s players. West Brom and Swansea have little to play for which should normally mean that major returns are unlikely for players from those teams.

If you are leading in your mini-league a risk-averse strategy is to play and captain Bale and get in players that are held in major numbers. Mata, Hazard, and Michu are typical targets.

Should you be chasing the opposite strategy applies. Consider captaining Aguero, Lukaku, or even a Wigan player to differentiate. It’s risky, but you have to somehow gain ground on your mini-league leader.

Captain Picks

  1. Bale: The obvious captain pick this Gameweek is Tottenham’s Bale, the newly crowned PFA player of the year. His recent form is just ridiculous, as he has averaged 10.7 Fantasy points in his last ten games, by courtesy of scoring 10 goals and providing 5 assists. He will be the most captained player so the only reason not to pick Bale is if you are in desperate need to differentiate.

  2. Aguero: Aguero has disappointed this season, with only 11 goals in 27 appearances, after a great first season where he scored 23 goals in 34 matches. Nevertheless, he possesses quality in abundance which he showed with a goal last game where he came through unscathed after coming back from injury. He’s a risky pick but one that could reap huge rewards.

  3. Mata: The diminutive Spaniard has enjoyed a fruitful Fantasy season with Chelsea, amassing 6 goals, 16 assists, and 24 bonus points in 32 games. He’s been remarkably consistent, delivering attacking returns in five of his last six games. Despite facing Manchester United and Tottenham, Mata is a good pick as he has already shown he can deliver against the big boys with goals and assists against Arsenal, Tottenham, and Manchester United this season.

Heavy Hitters

Hazard and Lampard will be the most popular Chelsea picks apart from Mata. Hazard has enjoyed several explosive returns this season, although with less consistency than Mata. Lampard has defied expectations with yet another double-digit goal returns, thanks in part to his penalty duties. Lampard is a tougher sell than Hazard, as he could very well be rested in either game in anticipation of the Europa League final on the 15th of May.

Tevez, Silva, Nasri, and Yaya Toure all present cases to be included in the heavy hitters. Tevez is the obvious pick, Nasri because of his recent form, Toure due to his guaranteed playing time and attacking threat, and Silva as a consequence of his amazing last season and intermittent glimpses of quality this season. As with Chelsea, City players face rotation risk with the League being already decided and having an FA Cup final against Wigan to consider.

Lukaku is the obvious choice from West Brom, although Morrison is a decent shout for a value midfielder. The risk of choosing Lukaku is Steve Clarke’s propensity to rest him in difficult away games, but if he starts he is a major threat as he has delivered attacking returns in five of his last six games.

Kone and Maloney are the picks of the bunch from a Wigan team that will be desperate for wins. Both are cheap picks in comparison to the likes of Bale and Aguero, but also much less likely to deliver explosive returns.

Michu is the obvious target from Swansea. He is even a cheeky outside captain pick, if you want to take a risk.

Looking away from the double fixture teams, interesting prospects include Carroll at home against a faltering Newcastle defence, Walcott against a down-in-the-dumps QPR, and Benteke away at Norwich.

Clean Sheets

Manchester City’s Joe Hart should play both games and is likely to register at least one clean sheet.

Vertonghen has returned decent attacking points this season which gives the edge over Dawson in games that Tottenham are unlikely to register two clean sheets. Of course this only applies if you have the extra funds to cover the 2.3 price difference between the players.

Wigan face two teams that have nothing left to play for. This increases the chance that they keep clean sheets with Boyce the likely popular choice after his goal last Gameweek.

Punts

Oscar is the question mark in Chelsea’s double Gameweek. He is capable of delivering as his goals in the last two Gameweeks show.

Defoe is deadly on his day, but they have been too few and far between this season. Still, he’s a fine punt as Tottenham need wins to secure the Champions League spot.

Another Tottenham player to consider is Dempsey, especially if Villas-Boas plays his 4-3-3 setup, giving the American more freedom to attack.

Gameweek 35 Review – Two Demolitions

Christian Benteke.JPG by Delval Loïc at Wikimedia Commons (CC-BY-SA-3.0): http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Christian_Benteke.JPG

Christian Benteke’s hattrick produced both Fantasy points and smiles on the faces of Fantasy managers in Gameweek 35.

Musings from Gameweek 35

Aston Villa’s demolition of Sunderland

Sunderland’s revival came to an abrupt halt when Aston Villa, led by the excellent Benteke, put six goals past them on Monday. Aston Villa’s attacking trio was superb, and all three produced attacking returns.

Benteke’s hattrick was the most impressive, but Agbonlahor’s goal and brace of assists led to a 14 point return and Weimann continued his fine season with a goal and a bonus point.

Although only returning five points, Aston Villa’s right back, Lowton, played an outstanding game. He created five chances, on par with Baines, Hazard, and Cazorla for the round. Should Aston Villa stay up he’s one to watch for next season.

To add insult to Sunderland’s injury, Sessegnon was sent off for a rather weak looking tackle robbing both Di Canio and Fantasy managers of his services for the rest of the season.

A Suarez-less Liverpool

Liverpool didn’t seem to notice the absence of Luis Suarez as they destroyed Newcastle, away from home no less. Sturridge, Henderson, Coutinho, and Downing performed admirably as they created all of Liverpool’s six goals and finished four of them, thanks to a Henderson and Sturridge brace.

Were it not for the double Gameweek, Sturridge would almost be a must buy at the low price of 6.9. Coutinho looks an excellent purchase and will be a popular choice for next season’s Fantasy managers, given that his price will not rise considerably.

Bale

The new PFA player of the year, Gareth Bale, scored a freak goal and got awarded an assist for the slightest of touches in Tottenham’s lucky draw against Wigan. Despite the lucky Fantasy points, he is far and away the top captain pick for the double Gameweek and is essential to have for the remainder of the season.

Just get him in and captain him, unless you have some devious master plan that the football community is unaware of.

Manchester City

Aguero, Yaya Toure, and Nasri gave us a reminder of their potential ahead of the double Gameweek in a comfortable 2 – 1 win over West Ham.

Nasri has produced a goal and four assists in his last five games and is an attractive outside bet for those chasing in their mini-leagues.

City just have too much quality in their side to ignore, despite having already lost the title. I’m thinking hard about stocking up on City players for the double Gameweek, admittedly in the risk of reduced game time due to Mancini’s likely tinkering.

The Lukaku conundrum

Were it not for his strange absence in away games Lukaku would be a must have for the double Gameweek. His goal and two assists against Southampton bring his total up to 14 goals and 7 assists for the season, a respectable figure for any striker. Those numbers become even more impressive when taken in context. Lukaku only started for West Brom on a regular basis after Gameweek 17 and has even been dropped, missed, or come on as a substitute in five of the last 17 matches.

Should he start both games he’s a great purchase for the rest of the season. I think it is unlikely, as Clarke has opted to start with Lukaku on the bench in tough away games, and West Brom play away against Manchester City in the second game next Gameweek.

Captain picks

I’m documenting whether I’m passing the test with my captain picks. If a captain pick scores over three points in the Gameweek it is considered a success and I am also noting double-digit Gameweek scores.

In the Friday Foreplay for Gameweek 35 I recommended Bale, Tevez, and Van Persie as captain picks. Tevez returned a blank but both Bale and Van Persie scored.

Quality of captain picks:

  • Good captain picks: 66/105
  • Double digit captains: 30/105

Friday Foreplay – Gameweek 35

Gareth Bale by Jan S0L0 at Flickr (CC BY-SA 2.0): http://www.flickr.com/photos/37547921@N04/5593692814

Bale is the top captain pick for Gameweek 35.

Let’s build a Gameweek 35 preview parlour. Materials include captain picks, big hitters, clean sheets, and punts. Also, a far fetched analogy.

Captain Picks

  1. Bale: Wigan have to attack against Tottenham meaning the game will be an open one, giving Bale the perfect playground. He is crucial to Tottenham’s quest for Champions League football, as witnessed by his goal and assist against Manchester City last Gameweek. He’s the safest captain pick.

  2. Tevez: A riskier pick, given Mancini’s unpredictable nature, but a home game against a West Ham team that has nothing to play for is too good to ignore. Tevez has scored four in seven games and is City’s most dangerous player at the moment.

  3. Van Persie: Ferguson will surely not deny Van Persie a starting spot on his return to the Emirates. It remains to be seen how many changes Ferguson will make, but he seems intent on breaking the points record so the lineup will be strong. Arsenal have to attack and Van Persie is in prime position to punish.

Heavy Hitters

You never know who will start for Chelsea, but Mata and Hazard are both in fine form and great buys for next Gameweek, given Chelsea’s double fixture.

Defoe made an instant impact for Tottenham against Manchester City, after substituting the ineffectual Adebayor. Villas-Boas will have made note and I’m guessing he will start Defoe this Gameweek.

Everton face Fulham who have been underwhelming in the last four Gameweeks. Mirallas’s late resurgence must make Moyes wish he had him fit earlier. Fellaini’s move to defensive midfield has dented his goal potential but against Fulham he will be given licence to move forward and he is always a threat in set piece situations.

Nasri is a fine differential pick, given the double Gameweek and City’s attractive fixture list. He has two assists and a goal in his last four games, a much better return than both Yaya Toure and Silva.

A Benteke led Aston Villa unit welcomes a resurgent Sunderland team featuring Sessegnon, who has two goals and an assist in three games since Di Canio took over the reins. Both are fine picks for the Gameweek.

Kone is a great pickup, both for the current Gameweek and the double fixture next Gameweek.

Clean Sheets

Stoke City face a toothless Norwich and Begovic is a decent buy if you need to replace an injured keeper.

Everton are mean at home and Baines offers a chance for a clean sheet in addition to an awesome attacking potential.

Manchester City should keep a clean sheet and Zabaleta is City’s highest scoring defender by far.

Punts

Maloney is having a good season, and is great value at 5.1 with five goals and six assists this season. He is also on set pieces and enjoys a double Gameweek next week.

Sturridge will start for Liverpool after Suarez’s 10 game ban and is a value punt.

Keep Anichebe if you have him but don’t go getting him in now instead of a double Gameweek 36 striker.

Gameweek 34 Review – Champions

Robin Van Persie by Ronnie Macdonald at Flickr (CC BY 2.0): http://www.flickr.com/photos/ronmacphotos/1162628761/

Van Persie’s hattrick secured the title for Manchester United.

Musings from Gameweek 34

The hattrick

Whether you are a Manchester United supporter or not, there is no doubting their comprehensive Premier League title win.

That Van Persie capped off the title with a superb hattrick is fitting.

From a Fantasy perspective, the three goals, added to the two goals last Gameweek, goes to show that sometimes patience is needed with the proven stars.

Boy, did Van Persie pay off for the masses that captained him against Aston Villa.

With Rooney now firmly entrenched in the middle of the park the question is not between Van Persie and Rooney, but rather of whether Ferguson will rest Van Persie in the remaining games. My guess is that Ferguson will more likely play his star striker, both to cement his Golden Boot standings and to try to finish the season with a record amount of points.

Other interesting possible late season purchases, such as Phil Jones, De Gea, and Kagawa, are probably overshadowed by double Gameweek 36 players and the threat of rotation.

As an aside, Van Persie’s volley was sublime.

Bale

While Giggs demonstrated his class with two excellent assists in United’s win, fellow countryman Bale showed himself to be a worthy successor with a well taken goal and a beautiful assist to help Tottenham come back from a goal down to secure an important 3 – 1 win against Manchester City.

I highlighted his potential for this Gameweek, despite being an injury doubt, and his performance secures his place as the must-have player for the double Gameweek in two weeks time.

It’s hard to see the logic in captaining anyone else, apart as a desperate last ditch punt to get to the top of your mini-league.

Defoe and Dempsey

Defoe’s introduction, at the expense of Adebayor, was part of Tottenham’s transformation to the Villas-Boas famous 4-3-3 formation. The change included a Dempsey-Defoe-Bale triumvirate that destroyed City’s defence.

Should Villas-Boas decide that Defoe’s performance is worthy of a start next Gameweek, he’s a great punt for the double Gameweek, and for the remainder of the season.

Another worthy punt, Dempsey, had three shots in the game against City, and has the habit of popping up in the penalty area when needed. He should be no stranger to Fantasy managers, based on his superb last season with Fulham.

Manchester City

City’s capitulation against Tottenham was typical for their season, as they finally lost the Premier League crown to their arch-rivals.

For Fantasy managers it should give us pause on whether it is wise to invest in their players for the double Gameweek. There is really no guessing Mancini, and he could choose to make a point to City’s owners by playing the second string team, especially before the FA Cup final game against Wigan.

Tevez, Silva, Yaya Toure, and Aguero suddenly seem less exciting prospects for the rest of the season. Take the chance if you want, but don’t come crying that you weren’t warned.

That bite

While the story of the Liverpool and Chelsea 2 – 2 should have been the performance of Suarez, all the coverage has of course focused on him biting Ivanovic.

A grown man biting another man.

From a Fantasy perspective this surely means Suarez is banned for the rest of the season, putting his owners in a pickle. The obvious swap is for a Manchester City striker, although that means trying to predict Mancini’s fancies as City have nothing to play for in the league.

Another choice, if you want to stay at Liverpool, is downgrading to Sturridge, and use the money elsewhere. The striker came on against Chelsea at halftime and showed his class with a well taken goal and the assist for Suarez’s equalizer.

Normally he would be worth a punt, but you really should be looking at players with a double Gameweek 36.

On Towards Gameweek 36

Remember that Tottenham, Chelsea, Swansea, Wigan, West Brom, and Manchester City play two games in Gameweek 36

The safe choices are ones from Tottenham and Wigan; both teams that have something to play for, while the risks are in City’s and Chelsea’s players.

Try to squeeze at least Bale and possibly Michu in if you are leading in your mini-league, to ensure that your rivals have to go for outside bets in order to gain points.

Captain picks

I’m documenting whether I’m passing the test with my captain picks. If a captain pick scores over three points in the Gameweek it is considered a success and I am also noting double-digit Gameweek scores.

In the Friday Foreplay for Gameweek 34 I recommended Van Persie, Suarez, and Michu as captain picks. Van Persie delivered in style, Suarez in controversy, and Michu not at all.

Quality of captain picks:

  • Good captain picks: 64/102
  • Double digit captains: 29/102

Friday Foreplay – Gameweek 34

Robin Van Persie by Ronnie Macdonald at Flickr (CC BY 2.0): http://www.flickr.com/photos/ronmacphotos/1162628761/

Van Persie is the obvious captain pick this Gameweek, thanks to his return to form and a home game against Aston Villa.

Join me for a Gameweek 34 preview as we recover from the double Gameweek binge. Hangover remedies include captain picks, big hitters, clean sheets, and punts. Also, a strained analogy.

Captain Picks

  1. Van Persie: Having found his scoring touch again, a home game against Aston Villa makes him the best captain pick by far this Gameweek.

  2. Suarez: Despite playing Chelsea, Suarez is just too good to ignore. In his last three games he has taken seven shots and created almost three chances per game. Those stats are incredible and should lead to more goals and assists than he has registered in the last couple of games.

  3. Michu: As the end of the season draws nearer we will be seeing more of the kind of fixtures where little is up for grabs. Swansea at home against Southampton is a good example this Gameweek. Don’t get caught up in the media hype focusing only on the top and bottom and place good bets on the less covered games. Michu is a good shout this Gameweek after having returned to his scoring ways with consecutive goals against Tottenham and Norwich.

Heavy Hitters

Bale is currently out injured but keep an eye on the lineup news before the Gameweek starts. Despite playing against Manchester City, he is simply too good to leave out and is essential for the double Gameweek 36.

It’s hard to pick out any other Manchester United players other than Van Persie. Nevertheless, a home fixture against Aston Villa means that whoever starts upfront alongside the Dutchman, be it Rooney, Welbeck, or Hernandez will have a great chance to pick up Fantasy points. You really should be spending transfers on building up your team for the double Gameweek 36, but if you hold Rooney keep him for this Gameweek unless you think he will be rotated.

Sunderland face a physical opposition in Everton and Mirallas has been consistently threatening in his last six games. Three goals, an assist, and ten bonus points bear witness to his newfound importance to Everton’s attacking setup.

Wigan could struggle containing Carroll who had a good game against Manchester United. His three goals, assist, and six bonus points in his last three games have come from an average of three shots and over a chance created per game, a reasonable return for the underlying stats.

Clean Sheets

Phil Jones has played the last three games in a Manchester United team that has kept seven clean sheets in its last nine fixtures. He has chipped in with two assists and could be placed in the middle of the park again, although he was rather poor playing alongside Carrick against West Ham.

Norwich’s Bunn faces a blunt Reading side with nothing to play for and is a fine pick this Gameweek.

I’ll include a sneaky shout for QPR’s admittedly awful defence. They are playing an even worse performing offence in Stoke, giving 3.8 valued Onuoha a chance for a clean sheet.

Punts

I don’t like Chelsea’s chances of big attacking returns away at Liverpool. However, if they score Mata and Hazard are the likeliest to be involved.

I’m placing a punt on Kagawa again, after his double assist performance against West Ham. He’s had a so-so season but clearly has the ability to create chances and I’m guessing he will play a bigger part in Manchester United’s first team next season.

Southampton’s Rodriguez is example, similar to Michu, of a player in good form playing in a game that has little impact on the battle at the top and bottom of the league.

Gameweek 33 Review – Van Persie the Goal Scorer

Robin Van Persie by Ronnie Macdonald at Flickr (CC BY 2.0): http://www.flickr.com/photos/ronmacphotos/1162628761/

Van Persie was amongst the goals again and returned a hefty 16 points in the Gameweek.

Musings from Gameweek 33

The Captain Battle

Despite claiming a double game home advantage Cazorla’s consecutive blanks broke many a manager’s heart. His four created chances and three shots bears witness to him being less effective on the wing. He wasn’t as involved as when he is playing in the hole and suffered. The blanks came after two lively games from the Spaniard returning a goal and assist.

In contrast, Van Persie’s two goals came after five Gameweeks without hitting the back of the net. The points are justified considering his stats; six created chances and nine shots is excellent.

So, Van Persie’s 16 points versus Cazorla’s 5 will have swung many a mini-league as the Dutchman’s owners gloated while the depressed Cazorla captainers moaned.

Double Gameweek

Van Persie wasn’t the only double Gameweek success story.

The Everton defence returned two clean sheets with Howard, Distin, Jagielka, and Baines delivering double-digit scores. Fellaini, despite playing well, disappointed Fantasy managers while Mirallas and Anichebe returned 10 points each.

Mirallas looks dangerous and Anichebe is great value but Fellaini’s owners will be worried that his move to the center of midfield will last until the end of the season.

Giroud was the pick of the Arsenal bunch with a goal and assist. Sagna was value for money, with 8 points for the price of 4.8.

Kagawa’s double assists against West Ham was enjoyable after having touted him before the Gameweek. The same applies to Carroll who has now scored three goals and created one goal in his last three games.

Most surprising were the 13 points delivered by the deep lying midfielders. Carrick and Arteta got a goal each in the Gameweek.

Di Canio’s Sunderland

The most impressive performance of the Gameweek was Sunderland’s three goal win over Newcastle. Di Canio seems to have lit a fire under the Sunderland players, with Sessegnon and Johnson threatening throughout.

Both are decent punts for the last five games, but a risk considering the uncertainty surrounding Di Canio’s continued impact.

On Towards Gameweek 36

Plans for the next double Gameweek, number 36, starts now.

Tottenham, Chelsea, Swansea, Wigan, West Brom, and Manchester City play two games.

Manchester City and Wigan both play West Brom and Swansea, teams that will have nothing to play for. They would be the teams to target, in addition to the obvious choice in Tottenham’s Bale.

Chelsea face both Manchester United and Tottenham in a tough Gameweek. This, in addition to Benitez’s rotation, makes players that delivered this Gameweek such as Hazard, Mata, and Terry risky options.

Captain picks

I’m documenting whether I’m passing the test with my captain picks. If a captain pick scores over three points in the Gameweek it is considered a success and I am also noting double-digit Gameweek scores.

In the Friday Foreplay for Gameweek 33 I recommended Van Persie, Cazorla, and Baines as captain picks. All delivered, thanks to the double Gameweek, although Cazorla’s five points were rather low-key. However, Van Persie and Baines more than made up for that with double-digit returns.

Quality of captain picks:

  • Good captain picks: 62/99
  • Double digit captains: 27/99