Musings from Gameweek 4
Falling Off the Bandwagon
Michu, Hazard, Dyer, Van Persie, Fellaini, Ben Arfa all failed to deliver. Cazorla’s single assist isn’t a bad return, but taken in the context of a 6 – 1 spanking it was dissapointing. The same can be said of Tevez, who was taken off early, probably denying him bonus points.
These players are some of the most transferred in in the first four Gameweeks.
This just goes to show how hard it is to predict the scores of a single Gameweek. Rather than focusing solely on players’ form and fixtures, we should take into account the underlying data and history of the players. That’s why I tend to be conservative in my bets on new players.
Patience Pays Off
To get in Hazard, Michu, Fellaini, Cazorla, and Yaya Toure almost 187.000 and 82.000 Fantasy managers sold Bale and Nani, respectively. Both are proven Fantasy players that shouldn’t be ditched on a whim, especially for players new to the league.
Bale will play most games and should be on your radar given Tottenham’s excellent schedule. Nani’s Fantasy potential, however, is trickier to estimate with Ferguson’s rotation policy.
This was a frustrating Gameweek for many a Fantasy manager with Ferguson and Mancini rotating their teams without mercy. Van Persie started on the bench alongside De Gea, Valencia, and Evra. Having recommended Valenica and Van Persie as captain picks, this stung.
But not as much as the managers that captained Van Persie and got a whopping 2 points.
Mancini wasn’t much better, starting with Maicon, Sinclair, Balotelli, and Garcia. This meant bench duties for Silva, Zabaleta, and Dzeko. To add insult to injury Mancini substituted Tevez on 62 minutes, despite him being the liveliest of the City players.
This goes to show the problem with owning and captaining players of the elite teams. The Champions League loomed large and both managers wanted a fresh squad for the midweek game.
With this problem only intensifying with the return of Rooney, I’m still not on the Van Persie bandwagon. I just can’t recommend owning a £13.5 player that is likely to be rested or substituted early in Champions League weeks.
Berbatov, Fletcher, Ba
The brilliant Bulgarian stole the show against West Brom with a sumptuous finish and goal from a penalty. The former golden boot winner looks a steal at £7.1 and has already risen £0.2 in price since his move to Fulham.
Look for his price to rise quickly, especially if he delivers Fantasy points again next Gameweek.
Ba started on the bench but came on to grab a brace for an underwhelming Newcastle side. He’s outplayed Cisse so far and is an excellent second or third striker pick.
Fletcher scored his third goal in two games for Sunderland and looks a Fantasy bargain. However, he only has three shots on goal and can’t score with all his shots. The numbers suggest he’ll regress, more so than Berbatov and Ba.
Gameweek 4 Captain Picks
I’m documenting whether I’m passing the test with my captain picks. If a captain pick scores over three points in the Gameweek it is considered a success and I am also noting double digit Gameweek scores.
In the Friday Foreplay for Gameweek 4 I recommended Van Persie, Cazorla, and Valencia as the captain picks. Cazorla was my saviour, with a paltry five points. Van Persie got a single point, coming off the bench. Valencia didn’t even play.
Quality of captain picks:
- Good captain picks: 7/12
- Double digit captains: 3/12