James Yorke at Stats Bomb:
Plenty more media commentary has had a quick look at the table and spotted how close Arsenal and Man Utd are to the top two and in particular City. They have then presumed that City’s position in the top two is under threat and they are vulnerable to challengers. The numbers just don’t support this analysis. The trouble for City is mainly in perception, which is of course functionally irrelevant. Their season last year was so fluid and goal laden that any normal regression would look underwhelming. That they have regressed yet still maintained huge shot dominance is actually impressive. Their shot ratios over this year and last are now almost identical and it has been their raw conversion that has fallen off. No other team in the league approaches 8 shots and 3 shots on target over and above their opposition. Their current record of 18-7-5 is only six points behind their comparative record from last year of 21-4-5 and whilst I could easily be wrong I will be surprised if the owners rescind Pellegrini’s contract. Certainly they shouldn’t. There is no Champions League heritage to protect, disappointment there has no prior measure of success and the team remains very talented and strong.